
Baltimore Orioles
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Detroit Tigers
+100O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-120
(-110/-110)-120
Baltimore Orioles Insights
- Gunnar Henderson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)Gunnar Henderson has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last season’s 92.7-mph mark.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Baltimore Orioles hitters jointly rank near the top of the league this year (3rd-) when assessing their 90.6-mph average exit velocity.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Detroit Tigers Insights
- Keider Montero – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)With 6 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Keider Montero will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)Spencer Torkelson is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#2-worst of all teams on the slate).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
- Trey Sweeney – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)Trey Sweeney hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest CF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-150)The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-105/-125)The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ramon Urias – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+180/-235)Ramon Urias has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+12.75 Units / 50% ROI)