Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
(-125/+105)+100
The Cleveland Guardians will host the Minnesota Twins on September 16, 2024, in what shapes up to be an intriguing American League Central matchup. The Guardians, currently sporting an 86-64 record, are enjoying a strong season and are fresh off a shutout victory against the Tampa Bay Rays, winning 2-0 on September 15. In contrast, the Twins are 79-70 and recently triumphed over the Cincinnati Reds with a decisive 9-2 win.
On the mound, the Guardians are projected to start left-hander Matthew Boyd, who has been effective in his limited appearances this season, holding a stellar 2.18 ERA across just six starts. However, his xFIP of 3.84 suggests he might not be as fortunate going forward. Boyd’s average projections indicate he will pitch about 5.3 innings, allowing 2.5 earned runs with a concerning rate of 5.1 hits and 1.5 walks.
Pablo Lopez, the Twins’ right-handed starter, has performed well this year, boasting a 3.88 ERA and a solid 15-8 record. His last outing was impressive, featuring 10 strikeouts and no earned runs over seven innings. Despite his strong season, projections show that he might face challenges against the Guardians’ offense, which has struck out the 3rd least in MLB.
According to the leading MLB projection system, the Guardians have a projected win probability of 50% for this game, indicating a closely contested matchup. The Guardians’ bullpen ranks 5th best in MLB, which could prove critical in a tight game. In contrast, the Twins’ bullpen sits at a troubling 25th.
Cleveland Guardians Insights
- According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Cleveland Guardians with a 19.6% underlying K%.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-125/+105)The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+9.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-125/+105)The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+13.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- Manuel Margot – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-115/-115)Manuel Margot has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+7.30 Units / 18% ROI)