Check the Weather for D-Backs vs Giants Game – 5/14/2025

Arizona Diamondbacks

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San Francisco Giants

On May 14, 2025, the San Francisco Giants will host the Arizona Diamondbacks at Oracle Park for the third game of their series. The Giants are currently enjoying a solid season with a record of 25-18, while the Diamondbacks sit at 22-21, indicating an average start. In their last matchup on May 13, the Giants emerged victorious with a score of 10-6, showcasing their offensive prowess.

When it comes to the mound, the Giants are slated to start Jordan Hicks, who ranks 47th among MLB starting pitchers according to advanced metrics. Despite a Win/Loss record of 1-4 and a troubling ERA of 5.82, Hicks has shown signs of potential improvement, as his xFIP of 3.56 suggests he has been a bit unlucky this season. He projects to pitch around 5.1 innings, allowing approximately 2.4 earned runs, while facing a powerful D-Backs lineup that has hit 58 home runs this year, ranking 4th in MLB.

Eduardo Rodriguez, projected to start for the Diamondbacks, has also struggled, posting a 6.86 ERA and a 1-3 record. His recent outing was particularly rough, allowing 6 earned runs in just 3 innings. The projections indicate he might also bounce back, as his xFIP stands at 3.70.

In terms of offense, the Giants rank 17th overall, but their recent form suggests they can capitalize on the D-Backs’ pitching woes. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks boast a top-tier offense, ranking 3rd in MLB, which could create a captivating clash. With both bullpens in mind, the Giants lead the league at 1st overall, presenting a potential advantage late in the game.

This matchup promises to be close, with both teams holding average implied totals of 4.25 runs. Given their current forms and the Giants’ recent victory, a competitive game is on the horizon.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Eduardo Rodriguez – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Eduardo Rodriguez has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 53.9% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• Eugenio Suarez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Extreme groundball batters like Eugenio Suarez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jordan Hicks.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Ketel Marte – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)
  Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Jordan Hicks – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Jordan Hicks’s 96.6-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 2.3-mph increase from last season’s 94.3-mph figure.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.
• Wilmer Flores – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-200/+155)
  Over the past two weeks, Wilmer Flores’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.6% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Rating 2nd-highest in baseball this year, San Francisco Giants bats as a unit have recorded a 16.2° launch angle (a reliable metric to measure the ability to lift the ball for power).
  Explain: A high launch angle generally means the hitter can lift the ball into the air well, which is a key component for power and home runs.

Betting Trends

• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-140/+110)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.60 Units / 16% ROI)
• Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (+115)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.25 Units / 21% ROI)
• Willy Adames – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+135)
  Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.20 Units / 20% ROI)