Check Out the Team Stats and Prediction for Tigers vs D-Backs Matchup 3/31/2026

-110O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-110

Casey Mize – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
With 6 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Casey Mize faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Parker Meadows – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+130)
Parker Meadows is certain to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game since none of the available options for the Arizona Diamondbacks share his handedness.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
The Detroit Tigers have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in the league since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward
Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Brandon Pfaadt – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
Among all starters, Brandon Pfaadt’s fastball spin rate of 2568 rpm grades out in the 97th percentile since the start of last season.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Carlos Santana – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
Utilizing Statcast metrics, Carlos Santana grades out in the 2nd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .193.
Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
Arizona Diamondbacks – 2H Moneyline
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Arizona Diamondbacks’ bullpen projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams in MLB.
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-120)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 67 games at home (+18.15 Units / 18% ROI)
Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+8.65 Units / 20% ROI)
Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+120/-155)
Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+8.70 Units / 31% ROI)

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