
Colorado Rockies

Los Angeles Dodgers
(-105/-115)-370
On September 8, 2025, the Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Colorado Rockies at Dodger Stadium for the first game of a series between these National League West rivals. The Dodgers, currently sitting at 79-64, are enjoying a solid season, while the Rockies have struggled significantly, with a dismal record of 40-103. In their last outings, the Dodgers secured a 5-2 victory, while the Rockies faced a heavy defeat, losing 8-1.
The betting landscape heavily favors the Dodgers, who have an implied team total of 5.85 runs. Tyler Glasnow is projected to take the mound for Los Angeles, boasting a 3.41 ERA and ranking as the 22nd best starting pitcher in MLB, according to the leading MLB projection system. Glasnow has started 14 games this season but has a Win/Loss record of 1-3. He projects to pitch 6.0 innings, allowing 2.3 earned runs and striking out 7.6 batters on average, which aligns well against a Rockies offense that ranks 2nd in the league for strikeouts.
Chase Dollander will start for Colorado, but his season has been a nightmare, reflected in his 6.77 ERA and a Win/Loss record of 2-12. Dollander projects to allow 3.2 earned runs over an average of just 4.3 innings, making him particularly vulnerable against a potent Dodgers lineup that ranks 3rd in team home runs and 8th in batting average.
With the Dodgers’ strong offensive numbers and Glasnow on the mound, they are poised to capitalize on the Rockies’ struggles, making them a team to watch as they look to build on their recent success.
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Chase Dollander will “start” for Colorado Rockies in today’s game but will be treated as more of an opener and may not remain in the game more than a couple framess.Explain: Openers have become a common strategy where a relief pitcher is used for the first (and maybe second) inning. This can suppress early run scoring as relievers are generally of a higher quality than non-ace starters.
- Mickey Moniak – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)Hunter Goodman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Tyler Glasnow – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)Tyler Glasnow has utilized his sinker 9.2% more often this year (17.9%) than he did last year (8.7%).Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
- Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)Freddie Freeman will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-370)The 2nd-best projected lineup of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-105/-115)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 68 games (+14.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 2.5 Team Total (-145/+115)The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 64 away games (+14.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Mookie Betts – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+460/-750)Mookie Betts has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.60 Units / 290% ROI)