Check Out the Live Stream Details for Giants vs Padres – Tuesday, August 19, 2025

San Francisco Giants

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San Diego Padres

The San Diego Padres host the San Francisco Giants at Petco Park on August 19, 2025, for the second game of their series. The Padres sit at a solid 69-56 on the season and are looking to bounce back after a narrow 4-3 loss to the Giants in their previous encounter. Meanwhile, the Giants are 61-64 and have marked themselves as a middle-tier team this year.

San Diego’s Nick Pivetta is projected to take the mound, carrying a strong 12-4 record and an impressive 2.87 ERA, making him one of the more effective pitchers in the league according to advanced-stat Power Rankings. However, his xFIP of 3.80 suggests he might have benefitted from some good fortune this season. Pivetta’s last start was a notable success, going seven innings with only one earned run, showing he’s in good form heading into this matchup.

On the flip side, San Francisco will counter with Kai-Wei Teng, who has struggled with a 9.90 ERA and a 1-2 record this season. Teng’s projections indicate he’s likely to face challenges, especially after a disastrous outing in his last start where he allowed six earned runs in only two innings pitched.

The Padres’ offense has ranked 20th overall this season, but they’re buoyed by a decent batting average, placing 9th in the league. Conversely, the Giants’ offense has faltered, ranking 26th in both batting average and home runs, which could spell trouble against a pitcher like Pivetta, who is adept at dealing with low-power lineups.

With the betting lines heavily favoring the Padres at -195 and an implied team total of 4.61 runs, the projections lean towards a San Diego victory. Given their solid starting pitcher and the recent performance of their lineup against a struggling Giants team, the Padres seem poised to flip the script on their recent loss and capitalize on their home field advantage today.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Kai-Wei Teng – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+130/-170)
  Kai-Wei Teng will have the handedness advantage over 6 opposing hitters in today’s game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Rafael Devers – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  Rafael Devers has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.5-mph to 95.8-mph over the past two weeks.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Kai-Wei Teng – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+130/-170)
  Patrick Bailey, the Giants’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

San Diego Padres Insights

• San Diego Padres – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-195)
  Nick Pivetta performed well in his last outing and allowed 0 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Ramon Laureano – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
  Ramon Laureano has been lucky this year, putting up a .386 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .057 deviation.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• San Diego Padres – 2H Moneyline
  The San Diego Padres bullpen profiles as the 2nd-best in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• San Diego Padres – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105/-125)
  The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 59 of their last 100 games (+13.37 Units / 11% ROI)
• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+120/-155)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+12.40 Units / 13% ROI)
• Dominic Smith – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+130/-170)
  Dominic Smith has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.65 Units / 77% ROI)