Check Out the Live Stream Details for Dodgers vs Orioles – Friday, September 05, 2025

Los Angeles Dodgers

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Baltimore Orioles

As the Baltimore Orioles prepare to face the Los Angeles Dodgers on September 5, 2025, they find themselves in a challenging position. The Orioles, currently sitting at 64-76, are in the midst of a disappointing season, unable to contend for a playoff spot. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are riding high with a record of 78-62, solidly positioned in the postseason race.

In their last outing, the Orioles managed to secure a victory against the Dodgers, winning 7-5, which adds a layer of intrigue to this interleague matchup. However, both teams bring different narratives to this game. The Orioles will send Dean Kremer to the mound, who has struggled lately, notably getting hit hard in his last start where he allowed 7 earned runs in just 3 innings pitched. Kremer holds a below-average ranking as the 131st best starting pitcher in MLB, with an ERA of 4.52 this season. His projections indicate he may allow around 3.2 earned runs today, alongside an alarming average of 5.6 hits.

Tyler Glasnow, projected to start for the Dodgers, has been more effective this season, ranking as the 21st best pitcher with a stellar 3.41 ERA. His last start was solid, giving up only 3 earned runs over 7 innings, and he’s expected to strike out around 6.8 batters while allowing fewer earned runs.

Offensively, the Dodgers boast the 3rd best lineup in MLB, while the Orioles rank 16th. The projections give the Dodgers a significant edge in this matchup, with an implied team total of 4.99 runs compared to the Orioles’ 4.01. With a strong roster and a favorable matchup against Kremer, the Dodgers look poised to capitalize on their offensive firepower today at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Tyler Glasnow – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)
  Tyler Glasnow has averaged 14.7 outs per game per started this year, ranking in the 19th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mookie Betts’s true offensive talent to be a .345, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .038 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .307 wOBA.
  Explain: Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-165)
  The 5th-best projected batting order on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Dean Kremer – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Dean Kremer’s four-seamer utilization has fallen by 5.5% from last year to this one (32.1% to 26.6%) .
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
• Colton Cowser – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
  Colton Cowser is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Baltimore Orioles – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Baltimore Orioles’ bullpen profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 88 games (+14.05 Units / 15% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 68 games (+9.90 Units / 13% ROI)
• Dylan Beavers – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+165/-220)
  Dylan Beavers has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 43% ROI)