Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds
(-110/-110)+120
On September 17, 2024, the Cincinnati Reds will host the Atlanta Braves at Great American Ball Park for the first game of a crucial series. The Braves, currently sitting at 81-69, are vying for a strong postseason push, while the Reds, at 73-78, are having a below-average season. Both teams are coming off disappointing losses, with the Reds falling to the Minnesota Twins 9-2 and the Braves suffering a shutout against the Los Angeles Dodgers, also by a score of 9-0.
Cincinnati will send Brandon Williamson to the mound, a left-handed pitcher who has posted an impressive 2.08 ERA this season, despite being ranked 179th among starting pitchers. His recent performance shows promise, as he allowed just one earned run in his last outing on September 11, going five innings with five strikeouts. However, projections suggest he may struggle today, with expected averages of 2.9 earned runs and 5.2 hits allowed.
On the other side, the Braves will counter with Grant Holmes, a right-handed pitcher with a solid 3.79 ERA. Although he has primarily been used out of the bullpen, he pitched well in his last start, going seven innings with two earned runs. However, his projections indicate he may also face challenges, with an average of 2.3 earned runs and 4.3 hits expected.
Offensively, the Braves rank 5th in MLB for home runs, while the Reds are 14th. The Reds’ best hitter, Elly De La Cruz, has been consistent all season, while TJ Friedl has been a standout over the last week, boasting a .417 batting average and a 1.083 OPS.
The projections lean slightly towards the Braves, who have a higher implied team total of 4.71 runs compared to the Reds’ 4.29. However, with both teams struggling recently, this matchup promises to be competitive, and bettors should keep an eye on the potential for an upset.
Betting Trends
- Cincinnati Reds – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-145/+115)The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games at home (+13.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 134 games (+33.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+115/-145)Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.30 Units / 44% ROI)