Boxscore for Dodgers vs Rockies – 8/21/25

Los Angeles Dodgers

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Colorado Rockies

On August 21, 2025, the Colorado Rockies will host the Los Angeles Dodgers at Coors Field in what is the fourth game of their series. The Rockies are currently struggling with a record of 37-90, ranking as the 25th best offense in MLB. In contrast, the Dodgers are performing well with a 72-55 record, holding the 2nd best offense in the league.

The Rockies found some unexpected success in their last outing, defeating the Dodgers 8-3, which was noteworthy given their recent struggles. Chase Dollander will take the mound for Colorado, bringing a Win/Loss record of 2-9 and an ERA of 6.43 this season. Although Dollander ranks as the 209th best starting pitcher, suggesting he has been one of the least effective in MLB, his 4.90 xFIP indicates he might have faced some bad luck this year. He projects to pitch 4.3 innings, allowing an average of 3.2 earned runs, which could set Colorado back against a strong Dodgers lineup.

On the other side, the Dodgers will start Clayton Kershaw, who has been solid with a 7-2 record and a great 3.01 ERA, ranking him 66th among pitchers. Kershaw’s last game saw him go 6 innings, allowing just 1 earned run; he is likely to be a challenging opponent for the Rockies. He projects to pitch slightly longer than Dollander but with similar projections for earned runs allowed, at 3.3.

Given the stark differences in offensive power and starting pitching, the Dodgers are heavy favorites. They carry a moneyline of -220 and a projected team total of 6.79 runs, while the Rockies stand at +185 with a team total of 4.71 runs. With the high Game Total of 11.5 runs, expect a potential offensive showcase, leaning heavily in favor of the Dodgers as they look to reclaim momentum after their recent loss.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Clayton Kershaw – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  With 9 batters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Clayton Kershaw will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 2.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Freddie Freeman can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Compared to their .344 overall projected rate, the .324 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup in this game suggests this version of the lineup significantly a bit watered down.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Chase Dollander – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Chase Dollander’s 97.2-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 98th percentile out of all starters.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Hunter Goodman has had some very good luck this year. His .359 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .291.
  Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
• Colorado Rockies – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Colorado Rockies’ bullpen ranks as the 9th-worst out of all the teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 71 of their last 125 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
• Over/Under 11.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+10.50 Units / 18% ROI)
• Andy Pages – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+140/-185)
  Andy Pages has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.95 Units / 81% ROI)