Boxscore for Dodgers vs Phillies - 10/6/25 - WriteNow™ by EV Analytics

-110O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-110

Blake Snell – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
Blake Snell has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 3.6 more adjusted pitches-per-game than average.
Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)
In the past 14 days, Mookie Betts’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)
Mookie Betts pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Jesus Luzardo – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
Jesus Luzardo’s slider rate has increased by 9.4% from last year to this one (29.2% to 38.6%) .
Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
Alec Bohm – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
Alec Bohm has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.9-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.7-mph figure.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (-110)
The Philadelphia Phillies projected offense ranks as the worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Philadelphia Phillies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-110)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 46 of their last 77 games at home (+18.65 Units / 14% ROI)
Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-120)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+11.05 Units / 40% ROI)
Ben Rortvedt – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+1500/-50000)
Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 7 games (+8.00 Units / 114% ROI)

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