Betting Trends and Expert Picks for Tigers vs White Sox Tuesday, August 12, 2025

Detroit Tigers logo

Detroit Tigers

@
Chicago White Sox logo

Chicago White Sox

-175O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)
+150

The Chicago White Sox and the Detroit Tigers are set to clash on August 12, 2025, at Guaranteed Rate Field, with the Tigers looking to build on their strong season as they currently hold a 69-51 record. Meanwhile, the White Sox are struggling significantly, sitting at 43-76 and having lost their last matchup against the Tigers by a score of 2-1.

In this matchup, the White Sox will send Mike Vasil to the mound, who has had a mixed season. While his ERA of 2.38 is impressive, advanced statistics suggest he may have been somewhat lucky, as his xFIP stands at 5.00, indicating potential regression. Vasil’s last outing was troubling, giving up 6 earned runs in just 4 innings. He faces a Tigers lineup that ranks 9th in MLB offensively, making for a challenging matchup.

On the other hand, Jack Flaherty, projected to start for the Tigers, has had his ups and downs this season with a 4.56 ERA. His recent performance also leaves something to be desired, having allowed 5 earned runs in his last start. However, the projections indicate Flaherty will likely see an improvement in his performance, as his xFIP of 3.67 suggests he has been a bit unlucky.

The White Sox offense is struggling, ranking 29th in MLB, which may not bode well against a solid Tigers bullpen that ranks 6th in the league. With an implied team total of just 3.75 runs for the White Sox, the betting odds favor the Tigers heavily at -170. Given the Tigers’ strong season and the White Sox’s ongoing struggles, this game presents a compelling opportunity for bettors looking to capitalize on the current form of both teams.

Detroit Tigers Insights

  • Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
    Jack Flaherty’s slider usage has dropped by 6.1% from last season to this one (29% to 22.9%) .
    Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
  • Gleyber Torres – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-230/+175)
    The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
    Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
  • Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
    Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.
    Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Chicago White Sox Insights

  • Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+135)
    In his last GS, Mike Vasil was firing on all cylinders and allowed 0 ER.
    Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
  • Kyle Teel – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+110)
    Kyle Teel has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
    Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
  • The Chicago White Sox have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Michael A. Taylor, Colson Montgomery, Luis Robert Jr.).
    Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

  • Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-110)
    The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 47 games at home (+12.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+100/-130)
    The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 64 of their last 114 games (+11.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+155/-200)
    Colson Montgomery has hit the Runs Over in his last 4 games at home (+6.25 Units / 156% ROI)