
Toronto Blue Jays
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+175O/U: 7.5
(-120/+100)-205
(-120/+100)-205
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Trey Yesavage – Over/Under 12.5 Pitching Outs (-135/+105)Trey Yesavage has been given a shorter leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 18 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average pitcher.Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
- Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)Daulton Varsho is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the strong outfield defense of Los Angeles (#2-best on the slate).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (+175)The worst projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the Toronto Blue Jays.Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Blake Snell – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)Blake Snell has used his change-up 6.1% more often this season (23.6%) than he did last season (17.5%).Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
- Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)Max Muncy’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (22.7°) is a significant dropoff from his 26.4° figure last year.Explain: If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn’t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen grades out as the best out of all teams in the majors.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
