Betting Odds and Picks for Brewers vs Reds – 6/02/25

Milwaukee Brewers

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Cincinnati Reds

On June 2, 2025, the Cincinnati Reds host the Milwaukee Brewers at Great American Ball Park for an intriguing National League Central matchup. The Reds enter this game with a record of 29-31, struggling to find their footing this season, while the Brewers hold a better mark at 32-28, reflecting an above-average performance. In their last matchup, the Reds fell short against the Brewers, underscoring the competitive nature of this series.

Cincinnati is slated to start Brady Singer, a right-handed pitcher whose Power Rankings position places him as the 136th best starter in MLB. Singer has a respectable Win/Loss record of 6-3 and an ERA of 4.60, indicating he’s been consistent but not necessarily dominant. He projects to pitch around 5.8 innings, allowing approximately 2.8 earned runs. However, he has faced challenges with a high projected hits allowed of 5.7, which could prove costly against a Brewers lineup that, despite being ranked 21st in overall offense, has shown flashes of power.

On the other side, Aaron Civale takes the mound for Milwaukee, struggling with a 0-1 record and a dismal ERA of 6.00. His projections suggest he may be in line for a rough outing, allowing around 2.9 earned runs over 5.0 innings, coupled with a concerning 5.2 hits allowed. However, Civale’s low strikeout rate could play to his advantage against a Reds offense that ranks 5th in strikeouts.

With the Reds’ offense ranked 12th overall and the Brewers’ bullpen holding steady at 17th, this matchup is ripe for a close game, as indicated by the current moneyline favoring Cincinnati at -120. Bettors should watch for the potential for a high-scoring affair, given the Game Total is set at 9.5 runs. The Reds are projected to score an impressive 4.86 runs, while the Brewers are not far behind with an implied total of 4.64 runs.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Aaron Civale – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Aaron Civale’s cut-fastball rate has increased by 6.3% from last season to this one (32.3% to 38.6%) .
  Explain: Because cutters are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Joseph Ortiz – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  Joey Ortiz’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 87.8-mph EV last year has dropped off to 83.8-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Milwaukee Brewers with a 22.3% underlying K%.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Brady Singer – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Among all starting pitchers, Brady Singer’s fastball velocity of 91.6 mph is in the 20th percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Elly De La Cruz – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-255/+190)
  Elly De La Cruz is an extreme groundball batter and faces the strong infield defense of Milwaukee (#2-best on the slate today).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Cincinnati Reds – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Cincinnati Reds’ bullpen projects as the 8th-worst among all the teams in the game.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games (+10.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• Milwaukee Brewers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-110/-120)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+8.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• Christian Yelich – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+330/-480)
  Christian Yelich has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 112% ROI)