Betting Odds and Expert Picks for Blue Jays vs Dodgers 10/28/25

Toronto Blue Jays

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Los Angeles Dodgers

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Shane Bieber – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Shane Bieber must realize this, because he has used his non-fastballs a lot this year: 64.3% of the time, placing in the 88th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Alejandro Kirk – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline
  The Toronto Blue Jays bullpen ranks as the 2nd-best in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Shohei Ohtani’s 97.8-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 99th percentile among all starters.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Teoscar Hernandez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Teoscar Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 96.3-mph figure last season has dropped off to 93.3-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  In today’s matchup, Max Muncy is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41.3% rate (99th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-205)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+14.40 Units / 22% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 84 of their last 144 games (+24.80 Units / 16% ROI)
• Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-135/+105)
  Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.10 Units / 31% ROI)