
New York Yankees
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Los Angeles Angels
-130O/U: 8
(-110/-110)+110
(-110/-110)+110
New York Yankees Insights
- Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)Extreme flyball hitters like Cody Bellinger tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Walbert Urena.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- New York Yankees – 2H MoneylineThe New York Yankees bullpen ranks as the 3rd-worst in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Walbert Urena – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Walbert Urena (50.4% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 FB hitters in New York’s projected lineup.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Tyler Heineman – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Tyler Heineman will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz today.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Zach Neto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)Zach Neto pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+19.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- New York Yankees – Run Line -1.5 (+135)The New York Yankees have hit the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games (+8.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Trent Grisham – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (-120/-110)Trent Grisham has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 73% ROI)
