Athletics vs Tigers Betting Guide – 6/25/25

Athletics

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Detroit Tigers

As the Detroit Tigers prepare to face the Oakland Athletics on June 25, 2025, at Comerica Park, the stakes are clear. The Tigers currently sit with a record of 50-30, enjoying a strong season, while the Athletics struggle at 32-49. In their last matchup, the Tigers cruised to an 11-4 victory, showcasing their offensive prowess, which ranks as the 5th best in MLB this season.

On the mound, the Tigers will send out Jack Flaherty, who has had a tumultuous season with a 5-8 record and a 4.83 ERA. Despite his recent struggles, Flaherty is projected to strike out 7.4 batters today, which bodes well against an Athletics lineup that has been inconsistent. His xFIP of 3.69 suggests he has been somewhat unlucky, indicating potential for improvement.

Jacob Lopez, the Athletics’ starter, has had a mixed season as well, with a 1-4 record and a 4.25 ERA. While Lopez’s ERA is above average, his peripherals project that he’s also been a bit unlucky. The Tigers will look to capitalize on Lopez’s weaknesses, particularly given that he’s projected to allow 4.2 hits and 1.9 walks today.

From a betting perspective, the Tigers are favored with a moneyline of -180, reflecting a strong implied team total of 4.82 runs. Meanwhile, the Athletics, sitting at +155, have a lower implied total of 3.68 runs. Given the Tigers’ current form and offensive capabilities, they appear well-positioned to continue their winning ways against an Athletics team that has struggled to find consistency.

Athletics Insights

• Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+130)
  Jacob Lopez is an extreme flyball pitcher (39.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #23 HR venue in MLB today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Tyler Soderstrom – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)
  Tyler Soderstrom is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Luis Urias – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  Luis Urias pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-deepest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-150/+120)
  Jack Flaherty’s slider rate has fallen by 6.1% from last season to this one (29% to 22.9%) .
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+125)
  Spencer Torkelson’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 90-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 82.4-mph in the last two weeks.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The Detroit Tigers have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Parker Meadows, Dillon Dingler, Riley Greene).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105/-125)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 80 games (+17.83 Units / 20% ROI)
• Athletics – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125/-105)
  The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+7.67 Units / 13% ROI)
• Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+105/-135)
  Lawrence Butler has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.75 Units / 55% ROI)