Washington Nationals
@
Miami Marlins
+135O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-155
(-110/-110)-155
Washington Nationals Insights
- Jackson Kent – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+130/-170)With 7 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Jackson Kent will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- The underlying talent of the Washington Nationals projected batting order today (.292 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit weaker than their .329 wOBA this year.Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.
Miami Marlins Insights
- Otto Lopez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+185/-245)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 8th-best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average talent.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.