Find the Official Lineup for Phillies vs Braves - 10/01/2026

-110O/U: 7.5
(-105/-115)-110

Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (-110)
The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
Kyle Schwarber’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 94.3-mph EV last season has dropped off to 92.3-mph.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Bryson Stott – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)
Bryson Stott hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Ray Kerr will “start” for Atlanta Braves today but will serve in the role of an opener and may not pitch more than a couple framess.
Explain: Openers have become a common strategy where a relief pitcher is used for the first (and maybe second) inning. This can suppress early run scoring as relievers are generally of a higher quality than non-ace starters.
Ozzie Albies – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
Philadelphia’s #1-ranked outfield defense on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Ozzie Albies, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (-110)
The worst projected offense of the day in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Atlanta Braves.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Atlanta Braves – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-135/+105)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.65 Units / 44% ROI)
Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-150/+115)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.80 Units / 31% ROI)
Ozzie Albies – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.15 Units / 43% ROI)

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