
St. Louis Cardinals
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Pittsburgh Pirates
+140O/U: 7
(-110/-110)-160
(-110/-110)-160
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Bryan Torres – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)Bryan Torres will have the handedness advantage over Paul Skenes in today’s matchup.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- The St. Louis Cardinals (20.6 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 5th-least strikeout-prone team of hitters on the slate today.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Pittsburgh Pirates Insights
- Paul Skenes – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)Paul Skenes has been granted a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 4.4 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average starting pitcher.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Pittsburgh Pirates – 2H MoneylineThe Pittsburgh Pirates bullpen projects as the 10th-best in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Pittsburgh Pirates – Run Line -1.5 (+145)The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-120)The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 23 away games (+12.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kyle Leahy – Over/Under 0.5 Walks Allowed (-105/-125)Kyle Leahy has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 39% ROI)
