Live Stream for Blue Jays vs Orioles Game – Wednesday, September 23, 2026

Toronto Blue Jays

@

Baltimore Orioles

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• CJ Van Eyk – Over/Under 12.5 Pitching Outs (+115/-145)
  Compared to the average hurler, CJ Van Eyk has been given less leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an -10.3 fewer adjusted pitches each outing.
  Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
• Nathan Lukes – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
  Typically, hitters like Nathan Lukes who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Trey Gibson.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• The Toronto Blue Jays have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Charles McAdoo, Davis Schneider, Sean Keys).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Baltimore Orioles – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135)
  With 6 hitters who share his hand in the opposing team’s projected offense, Trey Gibson figures to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Coby Mayo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+130)
  Coby Mayo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Baltimore Orioles – 2H Moneyline
  The Baltimore Orioles bullpen grades out as the 9th-best in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+5.55 Units / 14% ROI)
• Toronto Blue Jays – Run Line +1.5 (-195)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games (+5.50 Units / 10% ROI)