Find the Best Phillies vs Mets Picks and Odds - 9/20/2026

-155O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)+135

Philadelphia Phillies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-180)
In his last outing, Cristopher Sanchez was on point and conceded 0 ER.
Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
Brandon Marsh – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
Brandon Marsh’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 89.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 82.4-mph in the last 7 days.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Bryson Stott – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)
Bryson Stott hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Jonah Tong – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-150/+115)
Jonah Tong has recorded 12.2 outs per game per started since the start of last season, checking in at the 15th percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
Luis Torrens – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
Typically, hitters like Luis Torrens who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Cristopher Sanchez.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
New York Mets – Moneyline (+135)
The 2nd-best projected offense of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the New York Mets.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+6.25 Units / 23% ROI)
Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.75 Units / 47% ROI)
Marcus Semien – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+100/-130)
Marcus Semien has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)

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