
Minnesota Twins
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Los Angeles Angels
-125O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)+105
(-110/-110)+105
Minnesota Twins Insights
- Minnesota Twins – Moneyline (-125)Among every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- The Minnesota Twins jointly place 26th- overall in Major League Baseball this year as far as the maximum exit velocity of all of the baseballs their [HITTER}s have hit.Explain: If a player can hit the ball hard even once, it has great predictive power over his ability to do it again. If he’s never hit the ball hard, it’s a sign of a lack of power.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Grayson Rodriguez – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)Tallying 14.5 outs per start this year on average, Grayson Rodriguez falls in the 21st percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Jose Siri – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)Jose Siri is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Zach Neto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-165)Zach Neto pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.9% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+105)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (+5.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Christian Moore – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+135)Christian Moore has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.95 Units / 84% ROI)
