Player Prop Bets for Mets vs Yankees – September 12th, 2026

New York Mets

@

New York Yankees

New York Mets Insights

• Zach Thornton – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+120/-155)
  Compared to the average starting pitcher, Zachary Thornton has been given a shorter leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an -7.9 fewer adjusted pitches each start.
  Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
• New York Mets – Moneyline (+155)
  The best projected offense of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the New York Mets.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

New York Yankees Insights

• Gerrit Cole – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Gerrit Cole’s high usage percentage of his fastball (52.7% this year) is likely dampening his results, consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  Heliot Ramos has made big gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.9% rate last season to 14% this season.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• New York Yankees – 2H Moneyline
  The New York Yankees bullpen grades out as the 7th-worst in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.