Detailed Player Insights for Rockies vs Tigers – 9/12/2026

Colorado Rockies

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Detroit Tigers

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Tanner Gordon – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Tanner Gordon’s 92-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 25th percentile out of all starters.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Connor Norby – Over/Under Hits
  Connor Norby has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (67% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Colorado Rockies in today’s game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .300, which is considerably lower than their actual wOBA of .321 this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Andrew Sears – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Compared to the average starter, Andrew Sears has been granted less leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, recording an -14.0 fewer adjusted pitches each game.
  Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
• Javier Baez – Over/Under Total Bases
  Javier Baez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 91.2-mph figure last season has dropped off to 85.5-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Detroit Tigers – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Detroit Tigers’ bullpen ranks as the 8th-worst among all the teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.