
Los Angeles Angels
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Boston Red Sox
+125O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-145
(-110/-110)-145
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Reid Detmers – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)Reid Detmers’s 2145-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 8th percentile out of all SPs.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Jose Siri – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)Jose Siri has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.2-mph average.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Christian Moore – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)Christian Moore has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Boston Red Sox Insights
- Patrick Sandoval – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)Tallying 14.7 outs per GS this year on average, Patrick Sandoval places in the 24th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Patrick Sandoval – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)Connor Wong, the Red Sox’s expected catcher today, grades out as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).
Betting Trends
- Boston Red Sox – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135/+105)The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-110/-120)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 away games (+11.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Andruw Monasterio – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+205/-275)Andruw Monasterio has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 10 games at home (+6.85 Units / 69% ROI)
