Reds vs Dodgers Picks and Betting Tips – September 7th, 2026

Cincinnati Reds

@

Los Angeles Dodgers

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Chase Burns – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have 7 bats in the projected offense that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chase Burns in this matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Elly De La Cruz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
  Elly De La Cruz has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.6-mph to 95.7-mph over the last two weeks.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The Cincinnati Reds have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt McLain, Eugenio Suarez, Tyler Stephenson).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen grades out as the best among all teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+115/-145)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 61% ROI)
• Cincinnati Reds – Moneyline (+160)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.45 Units / 43% ROI)
• Matt McLain – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+600/-1100)
  Matt McLain has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+9.90 Units / 247% ROI)