
St. Louis Cardinals
@

Los Angeles Dodgers
+245O/U: 7.5
(-120/+100)-290
(-120/+100)-290
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+230)Quinn Mathews performed well in his last start and gave up 2 ER.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- St. Louis Cardinals – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the St. Louis Cardinals’ bullpen projects as the 3rd-best among all teams in Major League Baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Tarik Skubal – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+110/-145)Tarik Skubal has tallied 18.1 outs per game per started this year, checking in at the 96th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Kyle Tucker – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+135)Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-135/+105)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +1.5 (-120)The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 17 away games (+10.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernández – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-115/-115)Teoscar Hernández has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+6.50 Units / 21% ROI)
