
New York Yankees
@

Los Angeles Angels
-185O/U: 7.5
(+100/-120)+160
(+100/-120)+160
New York Yankees Insights
- Gerrit Cole – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)Gerrit Cole’s high usage rate of his fastball (52.9% this year) is likely harming his results, considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
- Trent Grisham – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)Trent Grisham has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- New York’s 89.6-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the elite in the majors: #2 overall.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (+160)The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Tyler Heineman – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)Tyler Heineman’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 84.2-mph EV last season has decreased to 81.3-mph.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Zach Neto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)Zach Neto pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100/-120)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100/-120)The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Wade Meckler – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+100/-130)Wade Meckler has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.95 Units / 27% ROI)
