
Texas Rangers
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Chicago White Sox
+115O/U: 8
(-105/-115)-135
(-105/-115)-135
Texas Rangers Insights
- MacKenzie Gore – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+110/-145)MacKenzie Gore was rolling in his previous start and notched 7 strikeouts.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Jake Burger – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+115)Jake Burger is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Collectively, Texas Rangers batters have struggled in regard to hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (between 23° and 34°), placing 3rd-worst in MLB.Explain: Balls that are hit too low can’t clear the fences, and balls that are hit too high generally don’t go far enough and are easy pop flies, but balls hit between 23° and 34° are far more likely to become home runs.
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-140)Sean Burke is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.2% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #9 HR venue in MLB in this matchup.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Miguel Vargas – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)Miguel Vargas has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph to 94.9-mph over the past week.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- The 8.9% Barrel% of the Chicago White Sox ranks them as the #4 team in the majors this year by this standard.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-105/-115)The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Texas Rangers – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-125/-105)The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- Joc Pederson – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+120/-155)Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.15 Units / 34% ROI)
