Uncover Detailed Player Insights for Brewers vs Padres – Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers

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San Diego Padres

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Kyle Harrison – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+110/-140)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Kyle Harrison to have a pitch count today, projecting a maximum of 84 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Christian Yelich – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+135)
  Christian Yelich is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)
  Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (49.3% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

San Diego Padres Insights

• Walker Buehler – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have 6 batters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against Walker Buehler in today’s game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Betting Trends

• San Diego Padres – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125/-105)
  The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.30 Units / 59% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.80 Units / 18% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+240/-335)
  Jackson Merrill has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+18.50 Units / 93% ROI)