
Colorado Rockies
@

St. Louis Cardinals
+145O/U: 8.5
(-115/-105)-165
(-115/-105)-165
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Willi Castro – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)Willi Castro has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Colorado Rockies – 2H MoneylineThe Colorado Rockies bullpen grades out as the 4th-worst in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Jordan Walker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-115/-105)The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-125/-105)The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- Jimmy Crooks III – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)Jimmy Crooks III has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+7.60 Units / 36% ROI)
