See the Updated Player Rankings for Athletics vs Reds – 8/4/26

Athletics

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Cincinnati Reds

Athletics Insights

• J.T. Ginn – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-170/+130)
  J.T. Ginn’s sinker percentage has dropped by 17.2% from last year to this one (49.3% to 32.1%) .
  Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker less often will likely be more effective than he used to be.
• Jeff McNeil – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-165)
  Jeff McNeil’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 89.6-mph figure last year has dropped to 86.7-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Positioned steepest in MLB since the start of last season, Athletics batters as a unit have compiled a 17.1° launch angle on their highest exit velocity balls (an advanced metric to measure power skills).
  Explain: If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn’t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Brady Singer – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Brady Singer’s 90.7-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 5th percentile out of all starters.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Eugenio Suarez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)
  Extreme groundball hitters like Eugenio Suarez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like J.T. Ginn.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Cincinnati Reds – 2H Moneyline
  The Cincinnati Reds bullpen projects as the 2nd-worst in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Cincinnati Reds – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+5.40 Units / 32% ROI)
• Athletics – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.30 Units / 23% ROI)