See the Updated Player Rankings for Phillies vs Marlins – July 29, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies

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Miami Marlins

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Jesus Luzardo – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Jesus Luzardo’s 96.4-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 85th percentile among all starters.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Alec Bohm – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  Alec Bohm has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 95-mph in the past 14 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Bryson Stott – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Bryson Stott hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Miami Marlins Insights

• Ryan Gusto – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Ryan Gusto has recorded 10.6 outs per start this year, checking in at the 1st percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Xavier Edwards – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-215/+165)
  Extreme groundball hitters like Xavier Edwards are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jesus Luzardo.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• The Miami Marlins have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Stowers, Joe Mack, Griffin Conine, Heriberto Hernandez).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts