Dodgers vs Mets Picks and Odds – July 25, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers

@

New York Mets

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-155)
  In his previous game started, Yoshinobu Yamamoto was on point and conceded 2 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Kyle Tucker – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)
  Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-155)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense ranks as the strongest of all teams today in terms of overall offensive skill.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

New York Mets Insights

• Nolan McLean – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
  Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Nolan McLean (49% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 4 FB hitters in Los Angeles’s projected batting order.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Bo Bichette – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-205)
  Bo Bichette has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph dropping to 81.1-mph over the past 14 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• New York Mets bats as a group rank 7th- in MLB for power this year when judging by their 8.7% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Betting Trends

• New York Mets – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105/-125)
  The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.00 Units / 48% ROI)
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+115/-145)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.15 Units / 21% ROI)
• Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-110/-120)
  Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+7.55 Units / 24% ROI)