
Los Angeles Dodgers
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New York Mets
-130O/U: 9
(-110/-110)+110
(-110/-110)+110
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Roki Sasaki – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects that Roki Sasaki will average a total of 14.7 outs in this game.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-130)The Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense ranks as the strongest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
New York Mets Insights
- Sean Manaea – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)Sean Manaea has gone to his sinker 25.4% more often this season (25.8%) than he did last season (0.4%).Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
- Luis Robert – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+130)Luis Robert Jr. has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (92% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- New York Mets hitters as a group rank among the best in MLB this year (7th-) when assessing their 89.3-mph average exit velocity.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Betting Trends
- New York Mets – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+115/-145)The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-120/-110)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-150/+120)Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.25 Units / 70% ROI)
