How to Watch Tigers vs Cubs - Wednesday, July 22, 2026

+105O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-125

Keider Montero – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-150/+120)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Keider Montero to have a pitch count in this game, projecting a maximum of 85 pitches.
Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
Kerry Carpenter – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
Kerry Carpenter has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph dropping to 81.6-mph in the last two weeks.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Detroit Tigers batters jointly place 5th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when judging by their 9.1% Barrel%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Colin Rea – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
Colin Rea has relied on his change-up 5.8% more often this season (18.1%) than he did last season (12.3%).
Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
Despite posting a .381 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Pete Crow-Armstrong has experienced some positive variance given the .033 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .348.
Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-125)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.10 Units / 31% ROI)
Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-105)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+6.70 Units / 21% ROI)
Seiya Suzuki – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+135/-180)
Seiya Suzuki has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+7.50 Units / 50% ROI)

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