Get the Winning Probability and Match Preview for Cardinals vs Angels – Monday, July 20, 2026

St. Louis Cardinals

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Los Angeles Angels

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Ivan Herrera – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
  Ivan Herrera has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 5.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last 14 days.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the St. Louis Cardinals with a 19.9% underlying K%.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Jose Soriano – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
  Considering that groundball hitters face a disadvantage against groundball pitchers, Jose Soriano (56% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 2 GB hitters in the opposition’s projected offense.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Josh Lowe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Lowe has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Los Angeles Angels hitters as a unit rank among the worst in the majors this year ( 5th-worst) when it comes to their 88.1-mph average exit velocity.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (+110)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+6.40 Units / 10% ROI)
• St. Louis Cardinals – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+100/-130)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.45 Units / 27% ROI)
• Alec Burleson – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+105/-135)
  Alec Burleson has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+7.90 Units / 52% ROI)