Explore Player Props Preview for Dodgers vs Phillies - 7/21/26

-110O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-110

Justin Wrobleski – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
Out of all starting pitchers, Justin Wrobleski’s fastball spin rate of 2450 rpm ranks in the 86th percentile this year.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Los Angeles Dodgers batters as a group grade out 3rd- in the game for power this year when using their 9.5% Barrel%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Zack Wheeler – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-150/+120)
Compared to the average hurler, Zack Wheeler has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an additional 5.3 adjusted pitches each outing.
Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Brandon Marsh – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+125)
Brandon Marsh is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Bryce Harper – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
Bryce Harper has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.15 Units / 19% ROI)
Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+115)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.80 Units / 9% ROI)
Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 50% ROI)

WriteNow™ by EV Analytics