Los Angeles Dodgers
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Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Justin Wrobleski – Over/Under StrikeoutsOut of all starting pitchers, Justin Wrobleski’s fastball spin rate of 2450 rpm ranks in the 85th percentile this year.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineThe Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen ranks as the 3rd-best in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
- Zack Wheeler – Over/Under Pitching OutsCompared to the average hurler, Zack Wheeler has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an additional 5.3 adjusted pitches each outing.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Bryce Harper – Over/Under Total BasesBryce Harper has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 11.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past two weeks.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Bryson Stott – Over/Under Total BasesBryson Stott has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under Game TotalThe Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) MoneylineThe Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.80 Units / 9% ROI)