Uncover Detailed Player Insights for Angels vs Mariners - Thursday, July 02, 2026

+190O/U: 7
(-115/-105)-220

Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+165)
Walbert Urena is an extreme groundball pitcher (50.4% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in T-Mobile Park — the #6 HR venue in the league — today.
Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
Denzer Guzman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
Denzer Guzman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Zach Neto – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.2% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Bryce Miller – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
Bryce Miller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing bats today.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Bryce Miller – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher today) profiles as an elite pitch framer.
Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-145)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.95 Units / 17% ROI)
Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (+105)
The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.35 Units / 26% ROI)
Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+110/-145)
Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.20 Units / 30% ROI)

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