
Athletics
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Los Angeles Angels
-110O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-110
(-110/-110)-110
Athletics Insights
- Jack Perkins – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)Jackson Perkins’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (60.7% since the start of last season) figures to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
- Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)Nick Kurtz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will be challenged by the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (-110)The Los Angeles Angels infield defense projects as the worst among every team today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Wade Meckler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Wade Meckler’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- The Los Angeles Angels have 5 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jorge Soler, Josh Lowe, Logan O’Hoppe, Zach Neto, Denzer Guzman).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-155)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-115)The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 24 away games (+4.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- Henry Bolte – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+145)Henry Bolte has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.70 Units / 31% ROI)
