Comprehensive Player Prop Odds for Rockies vs Cubs – June 17, 2026

Colorado Rockies

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Chicago Cubs

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Colorado Rockies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+145)
  In his previous outing, Sean Sullivan was rolling and allowed 0 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Jake McCarthy – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+185/-245)
  Chicago’s #1-ranked outfield defense on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Jake McCarthy, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Colorado Rockies – 2H Moneyline
  The Colorado Rockies bullpen ranks as the worst in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Chicago Cubs Insights

• Javier Assad – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Compared to league average, Javier Assad has been granted a shorter leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, recording an -12.5 fewer adjusted pitches each outing.
  Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
• Michael Busch – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)
  Michael Busch is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  In today’s game, Pete Crow-Armstrong is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39.9% rate (97th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Chicago Cubs – Over/Under 3.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+9.05 Units / 42% ROI)
• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+4.10 Units / 7% ROI)
• Ian Happ – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-135/+105)
  Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.20 Units / 50% ROI)