
San Diego Padres
@

St. Louis Cardinals
+100O/U: 8
(-115/-105)-120
(-115/-105)-120
San Diego Padres Insights
- San Diego Padres – Moneyline (+100)Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Ty France – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185/+145)Over the last two weeks, Ty France’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.4% down to 0%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- The San Diego Padres have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the seasonExplain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Andre Pallante – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Andre Pallante will tally an average of 16.9 outs today.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
- Masyn Winn – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+130)Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 89.6-mph average last season has fallen off to 84.6-mph.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- St. Louis Cardinals – 2H MoneylineThe St. Louis Cardinals bullpen ranks as the 8th-best in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (+110)The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- San Diego Padres – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-140/+110)The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Will Wagner – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+185/-245)Will Wagner has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
