Bets and Betting Tips for Marlins vs Pirates - June 14, 2026

+135O/U: 7.5
(+105/-125)-155

Max Meyer – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
Out of all starting pitchers, Max Meyer’s fastball spin rate of 2596 rpm grades out in the 99th percentile this year.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Otto Lopez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-265/+200)
When it comes to his batting average skill, Otto Lopez is projected as the 10th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
The 6.5% Barrel% of the Miami Marlins ranks them as the #28 group of hitters in baseball this year by this standard.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Paul Skenes – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+120/-155)
Paul Skenes has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 8.3 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average hurler.
Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Spencer Horwitz – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-215/+165)
Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Henry Davis – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
Henry Davis pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+105/-125)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.70 Units / 39% ROI)
Miami Marlins – Run Line +1.5 (-165)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.15 Units / 57% ROI)
Brandon Lowe – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+7.80 Units / 29% ROI)

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