Detailed Player Insights for Rockies vs Athletics – 6/13/2026

Colorado Rockies

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Athletics

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Kyle Freeland – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110/-145)
  In his previous outing, Kyle Freeland struggled when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.
  Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 2.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
  Hunter Goodman has a ton of pop (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (29.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Joey Estes struggles to strike batters out (10th percentile K%) — great news for Goodman.
  Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
• Today’s version of the Rockies projected lineup is a bit watered down, as their .297 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .324 overall projected rate.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Athletics Insights

• Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-140)
  Joey Estes is an extreme flyball pitcher (42.9% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #2 HR venue in the league today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 2.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Nick Kurtz has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Athletics – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Athletics’ bullpen grades out as the 8th-worst out of all the teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Athletics – Over/Under 7.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+4.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 3.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125/-105)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 away games (+3.95 Units / 11% ROI)
• Troy Johnston – Over/Under 2.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+105/-135)
  Troy Johnston has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.50 Units / 50% ROI)