Player Stats for Dodgers vs Pirates - June 9th, 2026

-110O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-110

Eric Lauer – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
Eric Lauer has gone to his change-up 9.2% more often this season (16.4%) than he did last season (7.2%).
Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
Alex Call – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
Alex Call’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 83.1-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 78.9-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-110)
The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup profiles as the best on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Paul Skenes – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
Paul Skenes’s fastball velocity has fallen 1 mph this year (96.5 mph) below where it was last year (97.5 mph).
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
Jake Mangum – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)
Batters such as Jake Mangum with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Eric Lauer who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Pittsburgh Pirates – 2H Moneyline
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Pittsburgh Pirates’ bullpen ranks as the 8th-best out of all MLB teams.
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 47% ROI)
Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-140)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.60 Units / 29% ROI)

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