Uncover Detailed Player Insights for Mariners vs Tigers – Sunday, June 07, 2026

Seattle Mariners

@

Detroit Tigers

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Luis Castillo – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+110/-145)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Luis Castillo to be limited in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 77 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• J.P. Crawford – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-185)
  Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Mitch Garver – Over/Under Total Bases
  Today, Mitch Garver is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.8% rate (98th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
  Jack Flaherty’s curveball utilization has fallen by 5% from last year to this one (25.4% to 20.4%) .
  Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• The Detroit Tigers have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kerry Carpenter, Riley Greene, Spencer Torkelson, Jake Rogers).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
• Seattle Mariners – Run Line -1.5 (+140)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Run Line in 12 of their last 22 away games (+5.60 Units / 25% ROI)
• Riley Greene – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+115/-145)
  Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 35% ROI)