
Philadelphia Phillies
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+110O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-130
(-110/-110)-130
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
- Jesus Luzardo – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)Jesus Luzardo’s 96.4-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 89th percentile out of all starters.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Adolis Garcia – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+115)Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (+110)The Philadelphia Phillies projected batting order projects as the 3rd-best of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Roki Sasaki – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+110/-140)Roki Sasaki projects to allow an average of 2.1 walks in this game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
- Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)Shohei Ohtani’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 100.7-mph mark last season has dropped to 96.8-mph.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineThe Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen ranks as the 9th-best in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-130)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+180/-235)Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.50 Units / 68% ROI)
