
Colorado Rockies
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+200O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-235
(-110/-110)-235
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Kyle Freeland – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)Kyle Freeland has tallied 14.4 outs per outing this year, ranking in the 20th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Jake McCarthy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+135)Jake McCarthy has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 83.6-mph dropping to 81.2-mph in the last 14 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Colorado Rockies – 2H MoneylineThe Colorado Rockies bullpen projects as the 3rd-worst in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Eric Lauer – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)Eric Lauer has used his change-up 10.4% more often this season (17.6%) than he did last season (7.2%).Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
- Will Smith – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)Will Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+6.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- Colorado Rockies – Moneyline (+200)The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 18 away games (+3.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+135/-170)Enrique Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+6.60 Units / 33% ROI)
