Review Rockies vs D-Backs Betting Line and Odds - 5/23/2026

+160O/U: 9
(-115/-105)-185

Michael Lorenzen – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
Grading out in the 25th percentile, Michael Lorenzen posted an 8.8% Swinging Strike% this year.
Explain: Swinging Strike% measures how often a pitcher gets a batter to whiff at a pitch and is regarded to be a strong indicator of strikeout ability and overall pitching talent.
Edouard Julien – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+120)
Edouard Julien has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Compared to their .321 overall projected rate, the .300 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Colorado Rockies projected lineup in today’s game suggests this version of the lineup quite a bit missing some of their usual firepower.
Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Zac Gallen – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-160/+125)
Zac Gallen has averaged 14.7 outs per start this year, grading out in the 25th percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
Adrian Del Castillo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)
Adrian Del Castillo is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
Arizona’s 88.4-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the worst in MLB: #25 overall.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-130/+100)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 35 games at home (+17.55 Units / 41% ROI)
Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135/+105)
The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
Troy Johnston – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-120/-110)
Troy Johnston has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.75 Units / 35% ROI)

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