
Los Angeles Dodgers
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Los Angeles Angels
-135O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)+115
(-110/-110)+115
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Justin Wrobleski – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Justin Wrobleski has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 57.3% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
- Teoscar Hernandez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineThe Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen ranks as the 6th-best in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (+115)Among every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Jo Adell – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)Jo Adell has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 100-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 91.2-mph average.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Zach Neto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-185)Zach Neto pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-125/-105)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-110/-120)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jorge Soler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)Jorge Soler has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.50 Units / 22% ROI)
